Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000092 0.000096 0.000101 0.000106 0.000112 0.000119
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000085 0.000092 0.000099 0.000108 0.000117 0.000129
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000083 0.000091 0.000101 0.000112 0.000126 0.000143
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000079 0.000088 0.000099 0.000113 0.000130 0.000152
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000076 0.000086 0.000098 0.000114 0.000133 0.000160
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000074 0.000085 0.000098 0.000116 0.000139 0.000172
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000073 0.000084 0.000100 0.000120 0.000147 0.000187
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000070 0.000082 0.000098 0.000119 0.000148 0.000193
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000067 0.000079 0.000095 0.000117 0.000147 0.000195
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000065 0.000077 0.000093 0.000116 0.000147 0.000199
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000062 0.000073 0.000089 0.000112 0.000144 0.000197
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000061 0.000073 0.000090 0.000114 0.000149 0.000209
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000061 0.000073 0.000091 0.000117 0.000156 0.000226
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000090 0.000117 0.000159 0.000235
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000091 0.000121 0.000167 0.000256
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000090 0.000121 0.000170 0.000267
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069 0.000089 0.000120 0.000172 0.000277
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000089 0.000122 0.000178 0.000296
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000090 0.000126 0.000186 0.000323
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000067 0.000089 0.000124 0.000187 0.000330
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000086 0.000121 0.000184 0.000329
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000050 0.000064 0.000085 0.000120 0.000182 0.000332
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000082 0.000115 0.000176 0.000323